Sunday, January 27, 2008

Monthly NYSE Short Interest


Disclaimer: All charts and comments are intended for education and discussion purposes only. No investment recommendations are being offered. Please do your own research and take responsibility for all investment decisions that you make. Questions and comments related to this post are encouraged.  | MON - Sector Strength | TUE - Interest Rates | WED - Market Breadth | THU - Commodities & Currencies | FRI - Market Sentiment | SAT - Bullish Percents | About | contact: HeadlineCharts@gmail.com |




Above is the latest monthly NYSE short interest figures.   I stopped showing this graph for a while because the signal wasn't working, or I wasn't sure how to read it.  Joseph Granville mentioned last summer that he thought the unbelievable surge in short interest was actually bearish towards stock prices, rather than a bullish contrary sentiment indicator.  So this means up until spring 2007, when the short interest reached above 6 days, it indicated fear and was therefore bullish.  This stopped working in the summer of 2007 when the days to cover reached above 7 days, and then it indicated there was a real problem developing.  And of course the shorts and Joseph Granville turned out to be correct.  Anyone with ideas about this graph and how to read short interest, please send me a note.


Posted by HeadlineCharts at 13:50:09 | Permanent Link | Comments (2) |
Comments
1 - in the past year, one of the new trendy strategy by hedge funds and institutionals are the so-called 'active extension'130/30 or 120/20 (which also goes by various names like 'equity plus' or 'equity flex', do a google on this) that involves being long 120 to 130% and short 20 to 30% on their portfolios. very likely this is causing the NYSE short interest reading to be abnormally high.

Jimmy C. (Comment this)

Written by: Anonymous at 2008/01/28 - 21:24:48
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2 - Hi, thanks for this information. I will check it out on google. (Comment this)

Written by: HeadlineCharts at 2008/01/28 - 22:48:58
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